Tunisia

Tournament projection

Advance

47.5%

Round of 16

14.3%

Quarter-final

5.4%

Semi-final

1.5%

Final

0.4%

Champion

0.1%

Market champion price 0.1% · model edge +0.1%.

A defensively excellent side (0 goals conceded in their qualifying mid-block reference) that builds in a back-3 and attacks with numbers, but is open to transitions.

Style · 4-3-3 / 4-1-4-1 / 4-2-3-1 variations — build in a back-3 (dropping a CM), push fullbacks high & wide, wingers and 10s close to the CF, crosses and numbers into the box; drop into a mid-block.

Tactics

Build via a back-3, get fullbacks high, and load the box with crosses and runners, before dropping into a stingy mid-block. The concern is how easily they can be opened in transition.

Sources: John Walker (@johnwalker_1986) — pre-tournament tactical scouting, May–Jun 2026