← Group F · score sheet

Group F · Monterrey

Extreme heat~35°C
Tunisia 18%Draw 34%Japan 48%

Predicted full-time score 0-1 · most-likely result Japan (48%).

Expected goals

0.59xG1.14

EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.42 pts.

Most-likely scorelines

  • 0-119.0%
  • 0-018.9%
  • 1-113.1%

Tournament odds

Tunisia
Advance
47.5%
Champion
0.1%
Japan
Advance
84.4%
Champion
2.6%

Extreme heat venue — typical afternoon high ~35°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.