← Group F · score sheet

Group F · Monterrey

Extreme heat~35°C
Sweden 36%Draw 32%Tunisia 32%

Predicted full-time score 1-1 · most-likely result Sweden (36%).

Expected goals

1.14xG1.06

EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.10 pts.

Most-likely scorelines

  • 1-114.7%
  • 0-012.4%
  • 1-011.3%

Tournament odds

Sweden
Advance
47.3%
Champion
0.2%
Tunisia
Advance
47.5%
Champion
0.1%

Extreme heat venue — typical afternoon high ~35°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.