Group L · Dallas
Extreme heat~35°CEngland 51%Draw 30%Croatia 19%
Predicted full-time score 1-0 · most-likely result England (51%).
Expected goals
1.37xG0.73
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.42 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 1-015.5%
- 1-113.5%
- 0-013.5%
Extreme heat venue — typical afternoon high ~35°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.