Group I · Philadelphia
High heat~30°CFrance 77%Draw 18%Iraq 5%
Predicted full-time score 2-0 · most-likely result France (77%).
Expected goals
2.16xG0.43
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.95 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 2-017.5%
- 1-015.5%
- 3-012.6%
High heat venue — typical afternoon high ~30°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.