Group I · New York New Jersey
High heat~28°CNorway 41%Draw 29%Senegal 30%
Predicted full-time score 1-0 (most-likely single score 1-1) · most-likely result Norway (41%).
Expected goals
1.37xG1.13
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.14 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 1-114.0%
- 1-010.0%
- 0-09.5%
High heat venue — typical afternoon high ~28°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.