Group I · New York New Jersey
High heat~28°CFrance 51%Draw 29%Senegal 20%
Predicted full-time score 1-0 · most-likely result France (51%).
Expected goals
1.45xG0.82
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.40 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 1-013.7%
- 1-113.5%
- 0-011.5%
High heat venue — typical afternoon high ~28°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.