Group H · Guadalajara
High heat~28°CUruguay 17%Draw 31%Spain 52%
Predicted full-time score 0-1 · most-likely result Spain (52%).
Expected goals
0.67xG1.35
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.47 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 0-116.7%
- 0-014.5%
- 1-113.2%
High heat venue — typical afternoon high ~28°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.