← Group F · score sheet

Group F · Houston

Extreme heat~34°C
Netherlands2-1Sweden
Netherlands 65%Draw 20%Sweden 15%

Predicted full-time score 2-1 · most-likely result Netherlands (65%).

Expected goals

2.33xG1.05

EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.62 pts.

Most-likely scorelines

  • 2-19.7%
  • 2-09.3%
  • 1-19.2%

Tournament odds

Netherlands
Advance
89.7%
Champion
3.0%
Sweden
Advance
47.3%
Champion
0.2%

Extreme heat venue — typical afternoon high ~34°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.