← Group F · score sheet

Group F · Dallas

Extreme heat~35°C
Netherlands1-1Japan
Netherlands 36%Draw 31%Japan 33%

Predicted full-time score 1-1 · most-likely result Netherlands (36%).

Expected goals

1.20xG1.14

EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.07 pts.

Most-likely scorelines

  • 1-114.5%
  • 0-011.0%
  • 1-010.3%

Tournament odds

Netherlands
Advance
89.7%
Champion
3.0%
Japan
Advance
84.4%
Champion
2.6%

Extreme heat venue — typical afternoon high ~35°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.