Group E · New York New Jersey
High heat~28°CEcuador 26%Draw 35%Germany 39%
Predicted full-time score 0-0 · most-likely result Germany (39%).
Expected goals
0.79xG1.02
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.23 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 0-017.7%
- 0-115.3%
- 1-114.5%
High heat venue — typical afternoon high ~28°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.