Group A · Guadalajara
High heat~28°CMexico 38%Draw 32%South Korea 29%
Predicted full-time score 1-1 · most-likely result Mexico (38%).
Expected goals
1.15xG0.98
EV of the pick under the pool scoring: 1.11 pts.
Most-likely scorelines
- 1-114.7%
- 0-013.2%
- 1-012.4%
Tournament odds
Mexico
- Advance
- 88.7%
- Champion
- 2.1%
South Korea
- Advance
- 83.5%
- Champion
- 0.7%
High heat venue — typical afternoon high ~28°C. This is display-only context, not a model input: heat was backtested both ways and failed the gate (see methodology). Venue heat analysis: Climate Central.